What should the growth team focus on right now?
A single-screen answer to seven questions every Growth Manager needs at the start of each week. Every number links to a detailed diagnostic tab.
Auction CPM Efficiency
Scale achieved -23.6% cheaper media CPM ($0.36 → $0.27)
Conversion Integrity
92.6% bounce on form. Approved CR collapsed from 9.2% to 2.4%
Cost per Lead vs Target
Current CPA $63.83 vs $15.81 baseline (Gap: +$48.02 per lead)
Campaign 1178 spent 19.2x more media budget ($55,662 vs $2,893), while cost per approved conversion surged 4x (+303.7%).
Campaign 936 ($2,893) delivered approved conversions at $15.81 each. Campaign 1178 ($55,662) delivered the same outcome at $63.83 — a $48.02 per-unit cost surge during budget expansion.
98.1% of the cost surge came from post-click conversion collapse — not from media buying.
CPM actually improved 23.6% at scale (cheaper inventory). CTR decay added minor cost pressure (+$9.7%). The real culprit: post-click approved conversion rate fell 73.8% (9.22% → 2.42%), accounting for $47.10 of the $48.02 gap. Direct standardization confirms this persists even under identical audience weighting.
Post-click form conversion is the primary lever. 92.6% of Campaign 1178 clicks never submit an enquiry.
If click-to-enquiry rate recovers from 7.4% to even half of Campaign 936's 27.1%, the blended cost per approved conversion would fall materially without increasing ad spend. This is the P0 experiment opportunity — ICE score 8.67.
Three P0 experiments are ready to run, all derived from real data anomalies.
Scale without post-click optimization is budget destruction. Mix adjustment proves it is not an audience composition problem.
Even under identical demographic weights (direct standardization), Campaign 1178's cost per approved conversion is structurally higher — ruling out audience skew as a confound. The issue is intra-segment post-click conversion decay. This is a learnable, testable, fixable problem.
OkCredit is retreating. BharatPe's hardware scale is a competitive gap. App store trust signals point to onboarding friction.
What we can trust
- +1,143 real ad records, zero synthetic values
- +11-check automated data quality audit (all passed)
- +Ratio-of-sums aggregation prevents Simpson's paradox
- +Decomposition reconciles to 100.000% (zero residual)
Known limitations
- ~No app install, login, or retention data available
- ~Dataset ends at approved conversion — no downstream LTV
- ~No time dimension — cannot compute period-over-period trends
What we will not compute
- ×Revenue or ROAS — no transaction data exists
- ×True CAC — excludes blended organic spend
- ×Khatabook internal metrics — 100% public datasets only